[LDES-coremodel] Battery storage cost projections

[Sergio Castellanos Rodriguez]

Following up on this, the attached report (2019, with 2018 data) also has
some extensive list of costs breakdown for multiple technologies based on
deployed projects.

See for example a summary of costs in pages 36-37.

Also note that in p. 79 they state they use a discount rate of 7.6%

On Thu, Sep 24, 2020 at 1:36 AM Daniel M. KAMMEN <kammen at berkeley.edu>
wrote:

> Here is a great starting point on storage costs.
>
> 2 years dated (2019 publication, 2018 dara), but comprehensive.
>
> Schmidt, O., Melchior, S., Hawkes, A., Staffell, I., 2019a. Projecting the
> future levelized cost of electricity
>
> storage technologies. Joule 3 (1), 81!100.
>
> Summarized in our table 8.3 in the attached Kittner et al chapter, too.
>
> dan
>
> On Wed, Sep 23, 2020 at 12:03 AM Sarah Kurtz <skurtz at ucmerced.edu> wrote:
>
>> Hi, Kenji,
>>
>>
>>
>> This is a super nice summary.
>>
>>
>>
>> I’m getting somewhat different results from the ATB.
>>
>>
>>
>> First, we might talk about whether 7% is still the right number for the
>> discount rate.
>>
>> But, when I annualize the ATB numbers, I get substantially lower numbers
>> than you do.  I wonder if we are using different versions.
>>
>> I see Capex in $/kW for 4 hr battery and 2 hr batteries in cells M10 to
>> AR16.
>>
>> Then, I see that someone has used those numbers to derive both $/kWh and
>> $/kW with those being listed in cells AX10 through something like BT22.
>>
>> If I use the 4 hr battery numbers I get something like what you get, but
>> if I use the $/kWh and $/kW that are on the far right, I get different
>> numbers.
>>
>>
>>
>> Sarah
>>
>>
>>
>> *From: *LDES-coremodel <ldes-coremodel-bounces at lists.ucmerced.edu> on
>> behalf of Kenji Shiraishi <kenjis at berkeley.edu>
>> *Date: *Tuesday, September 22, 2020 at 11:40 PM
>> *To: *"ldes-coremodel at lists.ucmerced.edu" <
>> ldes-coremodel at lists.ucmerced.edu>
>> *Subject: *[LDES-coremodel] Battery storage cost projections
>>
>>
>>
>> Hi all,
>>
>>
>>
>> I have summarized the battery storage cost projection of NREL ATB 2020 as
>> attached.
>>
>> It would be great if you could skim it before our regular meeting.
>>
>>
>>
>> Based on their scenario description, Moderate scenario seems appropriate
>> as the base case scenario of SWITCH. Costs in Moderate scenario is about
>> 2/3 of current SWITCH model. It is partly because of the difference in
>> lifetime (ATB assumes 15 years, while SWITCH assumes 10 years.)
>>
>>
>>
>> The costs inputs of RESOLVE are much lower than those in Advanced
>> scenarios of ATB. I would like to talk about the units of the cost inputs
>> in the next meeting.
>>
>>
>>
>> Best regards,
>>
>> Kenji
>>
>>
>> ---
>> Kenji Shiraishi
>>
>> Researcher,
>> Renewable and Appropriate Energy Laboratory (RAEL)
>> 450 Sutardja Dai Hall
>> Ph.D. student, Goldman School of Public Policy (GSPP)
>> University of California, Berkeley
>>
>> https://rael.berkeley.edu/people/shiraishi-kenji/
>>
>> https://www.kenjishiraishi.com/
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>>
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-- 
Sergio Castellanos, Ph.D.
Director, Berkeley–México Energy & Climate Change Initiative | CIEE
Data Science Fellow | D-Lab
University of California, Berkeley
tel. +1(520)-461-3266
twitter: @sergiocasterdz
sergiocastellanos.com
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