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FYI<br class="">
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<span style="font-family: -webkit-system-font, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif; color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.0);" class=""><b class="">From:
</b></span><span style="font-family: -webkit-system-font, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif;" class="">Priya Sreedharan <<a href="mailto:priya@gridlab.org" class="">priya@gridlab.org</a>><br class="">
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<span style="font-family: -webkit-system-font, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif; color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.0);" class=""><b class="">Subject:
</b></span><span style="font-family: -webkit-system-font, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif;" class=""><b class="">[TheGridLab] California 85% by 2030 study out!</b><br class="">
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<span style="font-family: -webkit-system-font, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif; color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.0);" class=""><b class="">Date:
</b></span><span style="font-family: -webkit-system-font, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif;" class="">May 10, 2022 at 8:16:26 PM PDT<br class="">
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<span style="font-family: -webkit-system-font, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif; color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.0);" class=""><b class="">To:
</b></span><span style="font-family: -webkit-system-font, Helvetica Neue, Helvetica, sans-serif;" class="">GridLab List Serve <<a href="mailto:thegridlab@gridlab.org" class="">thegridlab@gridlab.org</a>><br class="">
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<div class="">Friends of GridLab, </div>
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<div class="">We're excited to share that our California 85% by 2030 clean electricity study was released publicly yesterday! GridLab led the technical study and Energy Innovation led the policy paper. Telos Energy was our rockstar consultant for the technical
study and we are so grateful for Derek Stenclik and Mike Welch's partnership on this effort! </div>
<div class=""><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class=""><br class="">
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<div class=""><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">Here are the links: </span></div>
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<li class=""><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">The </span><a href="https://gridlab.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/GridLab_California-2030-Study-Technical-Report-5-9-22-Update1.pdf" style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" target="_blank" class="">technical
study</a><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class=""> </span><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">is hosted on GridLab’s</span><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class=""> </span><a href="https://gridlab.org/california-2030-study/" style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" target="_blank" class="">landing
page</a><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">. And I wanted to make a special note that we published a companion</span><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class=""> </span><a href="https://gridlab.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/GridLab_California-2030-Meteorological-Deep-Dive.pdf" style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" target="_blank" class="">meteorological
deep dive</a><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class=""> </span><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">authored by GridLab expert Justin Sharp. </span></li><li class="">The companion<span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class=""> </span><a href="https://energyinnovation.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/Achieving-An-Equitable-And-Reliable-85-Percent-Clean-Electricity-System-By-2030-In-California-1.pdf" target="_blank" style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">policy
paper</a><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class=""> that builds on the technical report findings </span><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">is hosted on Energy Innovation’s</span><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class=""> </span><a href="https://energyinnovation.org/publication/85-percent-clean-electricity-by-2030-in-california/" target="_blank" style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">landing
page</a><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">. (GL and EI's landing pages link to each others' reports) </span></li><li class=""><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">We</span><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class=""> developed two fact sheets </span><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">(</span><a href="https://gridlab.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/GridLab_California-2030-Study-Fact-Sheet.pdf" target="_blank" style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">technical</a><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class=""> and </span><a href="https://energyinnovation.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/85-Percent-by-2030-for-California-Policy-One-Pager.pdf" target="_blank" style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">policy</a><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">),
and a </span><a href="https://energyinnovation.org/2022/05/08/a-reliable-85-percent-clean-grid-for-california-data-explorer/" target="_blank" style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">visual data explorer</a><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">
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<div class=""><font face="Calibri, sans-serif" class="">The technical study builds three different portfolios that reach 85% clean by 2030 (equivalent to a 75% RPS, which is more aggressive than the current 60% by 2030 goal) and "stress tests" these portfolios
against a number of conditions that could compromise reliability of a future clean system (e.g., low hydro, less gas resources, August 2020 event conditions, less imports). This stress testing was done in PLEXOS with a zonal model of the whole West using</font><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class=""> 8
weather years (and for some stress cases, more weather years).</span><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class=""> </span><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class=""> </span></div>
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<div class=""><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">Our core finding is that an 85% clean electricity target is reliable. There are additional findings - such as the benefits of diverse clean resources (in terms of reliability and deployment
feasibility) and the potential to retire some of the instate gas, but hopefully this is enough to tempt you to read the fact sheet or report! </span></div>
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<div class=""><font face="Calibri, sans-serif" class="">On the methodological front, we believe this kind of stress testing is a useful way of asking "what if" questions that may not fall under the general rubric of the typical probabilistic modeling framework
and is a complement to that kind of RA analysis. </font></div>
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<div class=""><font face="Calibri, sans-serif" class="">The CEC was on our technical review committee and was fully engaged through the whole process (they supplied us with their PLEXOS model as the starting point). They are quite keen to use this kind of analysis,
and build on it, for their future SB100 work. GridLab experts Michael Milligan, Justin Sharp and Ed Smeloff were a part of the technical review committee along with others. </font></div>
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<div class=""><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">We've also had a few media hits: </span></div>
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<li style="margin:0in;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">Jeff St. John at Canary Media wrote up our reports in an <a href="https://www.canarymedia.com/articles/clean-energy/how-california-can-get-to-a-reliable-85-clean-grid-by-2030?utm_medium=email" target="_blank" class="">article</a> published
this morning and did a great job conveying the findings and top-line messages.<u class=""></u><u class=""></u></li><li style="margin:0in;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif" class="">Dan at EI authored a <a href="https://www.utilitydive.com/news/reliably-hitting-85-clean-electricity-has-huge-implications-for-california/623442/" target="_blank" class="">byline</a> published today
in Utility Dive, focusing a bit more on the policy recommendations and the studies’ implications for other states.<u class=""></u><u class=""></u></li></ul>
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<div class="">Feel free to reach out if you have questions! We'll also have a public webinar on May 24 at 11:30 PDT. You can register
<a href="https://energyinnovation.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN__Esv3M02SUKsifYv5ZG0HQ" class="">
here</a>. </div>
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<div class="">Best,</div>
<div class="">Priya</div>
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<div style="color:rgb(136,136,136)" class=""><font color="#666666" face="georgia, serif" class="">--</font><span style="font-family: arial, sans-serif;" class="">--</span></div>
<div class=""><font face="arial, sans-serif" class="">Priya Sreedharan, PhD, PE</font></div>
<div class=""><font face="arial, sans-serif" class=""><font class="">Program Director</font><br class="">
</font></div>
<div class=""><img src="https://drive.google.com/a/gridlab.org/uc?id=15WhPAP5F87CkW4BTlWXBeQQs7aImTAgK&export=download" style="color:rgb(102,102,102)" width="96" height="22" class=""><font face="arial, sans-serif" class=""><font class=""><br class="">
</font></font></div>
<div class=""><font face="arial, sans-serif" class=""><font class=""><a href="mailto:priya@gridlab.org" target="_blank" class="">priya@gridlab.org</a> </font><span style="color:rgb(34,34,34)" class="">| <a href="http://gridlab.org/" target="_blank" class="">gridlab.org</a> </span></font></div>
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