<div><br><div class="gmail_quote"><div>---------- Forwarded message ---------<br>From: David G. Victor <<a href="mailto:david.victor@ucsd.edu">david.victor@ucsd.edu</a>><br>Date: Wed, Apr 6, 2022 at 8:32 PM<br>Subject: Net Zero in California by 2045: the SDG&E Analysis of a high reliability grid. Webinars 11 April (3-4p CA) and 14 April (10-11a CA)<br>To: Steve Carlson <<a href="mailto:s2carlson@ucsd.edu">s2carlson@ucsd.edu</a>><br>CC: Pate, Samantha <<a href="mailto:spate@sdge.com">spate@sdge.com</a>><br></div><br><br>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt">Dear Friends and Colleagues,<u></u><u></u></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt"><u></u> <u></u></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt">I hope this note finds you well, and apologies for cross-posting. I write to draw your attention to two webinars—on 11 and 14 April—to present a new study.
<u></u><u></u></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt"><u></u> <u></u></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt">Over the last 9 months I have been heavily involved with a major analysis of deep decarbonization by SDG&E, the electric and gas utility that serves southern California. Their question: how do we net eliminate
emissions from California in a cost-effective way while ensuring that energy services (notably the grid) remain as reliable as there are today. That is a hard question to answer because deep cuts in emissions implies a lot of electrification—expanded clean
electricity supply and infrastructure—and electrification requires high reliability. Ultimately, the electric analysis requires building a model of power flow for the entire western grid, applying that model to a grid configuration that is highly unlike today’s
grid (ie, lots of wind and solar, with estimated demand for the 2040s that has many loads whose behavior is hard to predict), and then ensuring that grid meets NERC standards for reliability. With the aid of B&V and BCG, that’s what SDG&E has done, using
standard industry power flow modeling tools. <u></u><u></u></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt"><u></u> <u></u></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt">There are lots of unknowns, and dealing with those requires a policy strategy aimed at learning and adaptation. There are also lots of knowns, including around the buildout of solar and wind and the need
for a lot of storage and also for clean firm power. This study sees hydrogen playing a big role in integrating renewables on the grid. This study resonates with other analyses such as the Long et al study of clean firm power, E3’s and NREL’s work on California,
the Clack et al paper, the Princeton and SDSN net zero studies, SCE’s pathway analysis, and a host of others. What’s encouraging here is linking together these big picture questions about how to get to zero to industry standard planning and reliability tools.
<u></u><u></u></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt"><u></u> <u></u></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt">Attached is a copy of the study and below there is information on the webinars and how to register.
<u></u><u></u></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt"> <u></u><u></u></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><i><span style="font-size:11.0pt"><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.sdge.com_sites_default_files_documents_path-5Fto-5Fnet-5Fzero.pdf-3Fnid-3D21961&d=DwMF-g&c=-35OiAkTchMrZOngvJPOeA&r=jX1ZglGuw0PsFpZ4tAu422MRPSjCNUJgByXuu7eV-bY&m=4vHpfyLHqnWnafPqggkFFPHgUBnbRZj38oI4ct6JcF3G0-DbnY12XQBjh_CBUwgg&s=dyE7Fa3yYQG-4JriKqIAf7S5ASMZxm1klklrl4e0e3E&e=" target="_blank">The Path to Net Zero: A Decarbonization Roadmap for California!</a></span></i><span style="font-size:11.0pt"><u></u><u></u></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt"> <u></u><u></u></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt">We invite you to learn more about the study by visiting
<a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A__www.sdge.com_netzero&d=DwMF-g&c=-35OiAkTchMrZOngvJPOeA&r=jX1ZglGuw0PsFpZ4tAu422MRPSjCNUJgByXuu7eV-bY&m=4vHpfyLHqnWnafPqggkFFPHgUBnbRZj38oI4ct6JcF3G0-DbnY12XQBjh_CBUwgg&s=XTZns5sypay-X7L9rHX5pMmVO_lwQAoIXW8u9vvX-mM&e=" target="_blank">www.sdge.com/netzero</a> and registering for one of our upcoming webinars on April 11 and April 14. See below for more details.
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt"><u></u> <u></u></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt">All best wishes<u></u><u></u></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt">David<u></u><u></u></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt"><u></u> <u></u></span></p>
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<p style="margin-bottom:7.5pt;line-height:18.0pt"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">Hope you’re having a great week so far! Wanted to share this exciting development with you!</span><u></u><u></u></p>
<p style="margin-bottom:7.5pt;line-height:18.0pt"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">California is targeting a just and equitable energy transition to achieve carbon neutrality by 2045.
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<p style="margin-bottom:7.5pt;line-height:18.0pt"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">That means removing as much carbon from the atmosphere as the state produces. In the San Diego and southern Orange County region, SDG&E
and many local cities also embrace carbon neutrality as their goal. </span><u></u><u></u></p>
<p style="margin-bottom:7.5pt;line-height:18.0pt"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">To stimulate community engagement and economywide collaboration to achieve our shared climate goals, SDG&E will be releasing an analysis
on how to decarbonize the economy while also prioritizing electric grid reliability, affordability and equity.
<em><span style="font-family:"Arial",sans-serif">The Path to Net Zero: A Decarbonization Roadmap for California</span></em> lays out specific recommendations for the state to achieve carbon neutrality by 2045.</span><u></u><u></u></p>
<p style="margin-bottom:7.5pt;line-height:18.0pt"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">As a leader in environmental issues for our region, SDG&E invites you to join us for a series of webinars on this topic to learn more
about how we can partner across the region to support local and state climate goals.
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<p class="m_8359505492359634381h2" style="line-height:25.5pt"><a name="m_8359505492359634381_cta_button_1"><strong><span style="font-size:18.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#52ab88">Understanding The Path to Zero: A Decarbonization Roadmap for California</span></strong></a><span><u></u><u></u></span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom:15.0pt;line-height:18.0pt"><span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">Learn about this first-of its-kind study and hear recommendations from the team that produced
the report on how the San Diego region and California can decarbonize key sectors of the economy while ensuring energy reliability, affordability and equity. Participants will learn more about this study and have the opportunity to ask questions from a panel
of experts, including:</span><u></u><u></u></span></p>
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<p style="margin-bottom:11.25pt;line-height:18.0pt"><span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#333333">SDG&E President & CFO Bruce Folkmann</span><u></u><u></u></span></p>
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<span><span style="font-size:18.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#333333">•</span><u></u><u></u></span></p>
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<p style="margin-bottom:11.25pt;line-height:18.0pt"><span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#333333">SDG&E Senior Vice President of Customer Services & External Affairs Scott Crider</span><u></u><u></u></span></p>
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<p style="margin-bottom:11.25pt;line-height:18.0pt"><span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#333333">UCSD Professor of Innovation & Public Policy David Victor</span><u></u><u></u></span></p>
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<p style="margin-bottom:7.5pt;line-height:18.0pt"><span><strong><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">When:
</span></strong></span><span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">Monday, April 11 from 3 – 4 pm
</span><u></u><u></u></span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom:12.0pt;line-height:18.0pt"><span><strong><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">Where:</span></strong></span><span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">
Virtual meeting through Microsoft Teams </span><u></u><u></u></span></p>
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<span></span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.eventbrite.com_e_path-2Dto-2Dnet-2Dzero-2Dstudy-2Dintroduction-2Dtickets-2D309929396167&d=DwMF-g&c=-35OiAkTchMrZOngvJPOeA&r=jX1ZglGuw0PsFpZ4tAu422MRPSjCNUJgByXuu7eV-bY&m=4vHpfyLHqnWnafPqggkFFPHgUBnbRZj38oI4ct6JcF3G0-DbnY12XQBjh_CBUwgg&s=Ih9iXZrB5ZC6xzXPyEpjPsxn3mCfdKnjHOh6S-KJLCg&e=" target="_blank"><span><span style="font-size:16.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:white;letter-spacing:-.75pt;text-decoration:none">REGISTER</span></span><span></span></a><span></span><span><span style="font-size:11.0pt"><u></u><u></u></span></span></p>
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<p class="m_8359505492359634381h2" style="line-height:25.5pt"><span><strong><span style="font-size:18.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#52ab88">A Deeper Dive on The Path to Zero: A Decarbonization Roadmap for California</span></strong></span><span><u></u><u></u></span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom:15.0pt;line-height:18.0pt"><span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">This follow-up webinar will provide participants with a detailed overview of the study’s methodology
and take a closer look at the data that informed the pathways analysis and proposed legislation to help California and San Diego achieve climate goals. Participants will be able to engage with study authors, including:</span><u></u><u></u></span></p>
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<span><span style="font-size:18.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#333333">•</span><u></u><u></u></span></p>
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<p style="margin-bottom:11.25pt;line-height:18.0pt"><span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#333333">SDG&E Senior Vice President of Customer Services & External Affairs Scott Crider</span><u></u><u></u></span></p>
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<span><span style="font-size:18.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#333333">•</span><u></u><u></u></span></p>
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<p style="margin-bottom:11.25pt;line-height:18.0pt"><span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#333333">UCSD Professor of Innovation & Public Policy David Victor</span><u></u><u></u></span></p>
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<p style="margin-bottom:11.25pt;line-height:18.0pt"><span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#333333">Representative from contributor Black & Veatch</span><u></u><u></u></span></p>
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<p style="margin-bottom:11.25pt;line-height:18.0pt"><span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:#333333">SDG&E Director of Strategic Planning Samantha Pate and team</span><u></u><u></u></span></p>
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<p style="margin-bottom:7.5pt;line-height:18.0pt"><span><strong><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">When:
</span></strong></span><span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">Thursday, April 14 from 10 – 11 am
</span><u></u><u></u></span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom:12.0pt;line-height:18.0pt"><span><strong><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">Where:
</span></strong></span><span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">Virtual meeting through Microsoft Teams
</span><u></u><u></u></span></p>
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<span></span><a href="https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A__www.eventbrite.com_e_a-2Ddeeper-2Ddive-2Don-2Dthe-2Dpath-2Dto-2Dzero-2Da-2Ddecarbonization-2Droadmap-2Dfor-2Dcalifornia-2Dtickets-2D309991993397&d=DwMF-g&c=-35OiAkTchMrZOngvJPOeA&r=jX1ZglGuw0PsFpZ4tAu422MRPSjCNUJgByXuu7eV-bY&m=4vHpfyLHqnWnafPqggkFFPHgUBnbRZj38oI4ct6JcF3G0-DbnY12XQBjh_CBUwgg&s=XIR6ep4Mjf-jAxvfbmTvBeDKeFoyvnvavgeWMvmpxYo&e=" target="_blank"><span><span style="font-size:16.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:white;letter-spacing:-.75pt;text-decoration:none">REGISTER</span></span><span></span></a><span></span><span><span style="font-size:11.0pt"><u></u><u></u></span></span></p>
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<p style="margin-bottom:15.0pt;line-height:18.0pt"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black">We hope you will attend one or both of these webinars and look forward to your feedback on this study. Should you have any questions
in advance of the webinar, please do not hesitate to contact me. </span><u></u><u></u></p>
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</div></div><div dir="ltr">-- <br></div><div class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature"><div dir="ltr"><div style="color:rgb(34,34,34);margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt"><div style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt"><div style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt"><b style="color:rgb(32,33,36)"><span style="font-family:Tahoma,sans-serif;font-size:8pt;line-height:11.4133px;background-image:initial;background-repeat:initial">Patr</span></b><b style="color:rgb(32,33,36);font-size:12.8px"><span style="font-family:Tahoma,sans-serif;font-size:8pt;line-height:11.4133px;background-image:initial;background-repeat:initial">i</span></b><b style="color:rgb(32,33,36);font-size:12.8px"><span style="font-size:8pt;line-height:11.4133px;font-family:Tahoma,sans-serif;background-image:initial;background-repeat:initial">cia Hidalgo-Gonzalez</span></b><span style="font-family:Tahoma,sans-serif;font-weight:bold;font-size:8pt;color:rgb(84,141,212)"> </span><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif;font-size:11pt"><span style="font-size:8pt;font-family:Tahoma,sans-serif;color:rgb(0,32,96)"><br></span></span></div><div style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt"><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif;font-size:11pt"><span style="font-size:8pt;font-family:Tahoma,sans-serif;color:rgb(0,32,96)">Assistant Professor, Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering</span></span></div><div style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt"><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif;font-size:11pt"><span style="font-size:8pt;font-family:Tahoma,sans-serif;color:rgb(0,32,96)">Affiliated Professor, Electrical and Computer Engineering</span></span></div><div style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt"><span style="color:rgb(0,32,96);font-family:Tahoma,sans-serif;font-size:10.6667px">Affiliate Member, Center for Energy Research</span><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif;font-size:11pt"><span style="font-size:8pt;font-family:Tahoma,sans-serif;color:rgb(0,32,96)"><br></span></span></div><div style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt"><span style="color:rgb(0,32,96);font-family:Tahoma,sans-serif;font-size:10.6667px">Director, Renewable Energy + Advanced Mathematics Laboratory</span><span style="font-family:Calibri,sans-serif;font-size:11pt"><span style="font-size:8pt;font-family:Tahoma,sans-serif;color:rgb(0,32,96)"><br></span></span></div><div style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;font-size:11pt;font-family:Calibri,sans-serif"><span style="color:rgb(166,166,166);font-size:8pt;font-family:Tahoma,sans-serif">University of California San Diego</span></div></div><div style="margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt"><font face="tahoma, sans-serif" size="1"><font color="#0000ff"><a href="https://patyhidalgo.github.io" target="_blank">REAM Lab website</a></font><br></font><div style="color:rgb(80,0,80)"><div style="font-family:UICTFontTextStyleBody;margin:0in 0in 0.0001pt;display:inline"><span style="font-family:Tahoma,sans-serif;font-size:10.6667px"><font color="#999999">(Pronouns: She/Her/Hers)</font></span></div></div></div></div></div></div>